Guimaraes vs Estrela: result 2-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Guimaraes won 2-0 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′Tomás HändelGuimaraes
- 66′Telmo ArcanjoGuimaraes
Official lineup for Guimaraes vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 7Nélson Oliveira
- 21Vando Félix
- 17João Mendes
- 18Telmo Arcanjo
- 8Tomás Händel
- 20Samu
- 13João Mendes
- 4Filipe Relvas
- 24T. Borevković
- 22Hevertton Santos
- 14Bruno Varela
Estrela
3-4-3- 7Fábio Ronaldo
- 17Chico Banza
- 10A. Ruiz
- 21Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 42Manuel Keliano
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 2Diogo Travassos
- 28Rúben Lima
- 13Miguel Lopes
- 4Ferro
- 24Andorinha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Real Betis(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Real Betis(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 24, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Boavista(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Guimaraes wins, 1 draw, 0 Estrela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 15th in Primeira Liga (5 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes vs Estrela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy