Nacional vs Casa Pia: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Casa Pia?
Nacional won 3-1 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′Daniel PenhaNacional
- 49′Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia
- 60′Paulinho BóiaNacional
- 75′J. TagueuNacional
Official lineup for Nacional vs Casa Pia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
4-1-4-1- 23Isaac
- 98Paulinho Bóia
- 17Daniel Penha
- 10Luís Esteves
- 99Dudu
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 70A. Appiah
- 34Léo Santos
- 4Ulisses
- 22Gustavo Garcia
- 37Lucas França
Casa Pia
3-4-3- 14Miguel Sousa
- 88Cauê
- 13K. Osundina
- 5Leonardo Lelo
- 17Rafael Brito
- 80Pablo Roberto
- 72Gaizka Larrazabal
- 2D. Tchamba
- 3R. Kluivert
- 4João Goulart
- 1P. Sequeira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Casa Pia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Farense(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Estrela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win, 1 draw, 4 Casa Pia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Casa Pia 2-5 Nacional | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Nacional 1-2 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Casa Pia | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 15th in Primeira Liga (7 points from 9 matches) and Casa Pia sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Nacional vs Casa Pia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy