Guinea vs Mali: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry
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What was the result of Guinea vs Mali?
Guinea won 1-0 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 75′S. SoumahGuinea
Official lineup for Guinea vs Mali
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guinea
4-3-1-2- 21S. Kaba
- 11M. Bayo
- 8N. Keïta
- 15M. Camara
- 6A. Diawara
- 12I. Conté
- 3I. Sylla
- 4I. Sankhon
- 13M. Camara
- 20Naby Camara
- 1A. Keita
Mali
4-3-3- 19M. Djenepo
- 9Z. Simpara
- 10A. Traoré
- 18A. Dieng
- 8D. Samassékou
- 14A. Traoré
- 21S. Bagayoko
- 23S. Camara
- 5Issaka Samaké
- 17F. Sacko
- 16D. Diarra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mali have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Cameroon(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Mali(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Tanzania(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Zambia(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Guinea(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Congo(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Cameroon(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Guinea win, 3 draws, 1 Mali win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2021 | Mali 0-0 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Mali 2-2 Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 28, 2015 | Guinea 1-1 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Guinea 1-0 Mali | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Mali 3-1 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mali | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Mali sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GuineaGroup D | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | MaliGroup K | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
A question about Guinea vs Mali?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy