Guinea vs Mali: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry
Full time
What was the result of Guinea vs Mali?
Guinea won 1-0 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 75′S. SoumahGuinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mali have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Cameroon(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Mali(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Tanzania(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Zambia(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Guinea(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Congo(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Cameroon(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Guinea win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Mali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2021 | Mali 0-0 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Mali 2-2 Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 28, 2015 | Guinea 1-1 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Guinea 1-0 Mali | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Mali 3-1 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mali | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (9 points from 6 matches) and Mali sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy