Ethiopia vs Madagascar: result 4-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Madagascar?
Ethiopia won 4-0 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 19′Amanuel Gebremichael AregwaiEthiopia
- 34′G. KebedeEthiopia
- 41′A. NasirEthiopia
- 86′S. BekeleEthiopia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Madagascar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | Malawi(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Niger(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Niger(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Niger(away) | 6-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ethiopia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Madagascar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | Madagascar 1-0 Ethiopia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Madagascar vs Ethiopia on Nov 16, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 6 matches) and Madagascar sit 4th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy