Ethiopia vs Madagascar: result 4-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Madagascar?
Ethiopia won 4-0 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 19′Amanuel Gebremichael AregwaiEthiopia
- 34′G. KebedeEthiopia
- 41′A. NasirEthiopia
- 86′S. BekeleEthiopia
Official lineup for Ethiopia vs Madagascar
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ethiopia
4-3-3- AA. Nasir
- GG. Kebede
- AAmanuel Gebremichael Aregwai
- SS. Bekele
- HHabtamu Tekeste
- SSiraf Alqadi
- RR. Yusef
- AA. Tamene
- YYared Bayeh Belay
- AAsrat Tonjo
- TTeklemariam Shanko
Madagascar
4-2-3-1- FFaneva Imà Andriatsima
- PPaulin Voavy
- LL. Nomenjanahary
- CC. Andriamatsinoro
- ZZ. Randriambololona
- IIbrahim Samuel Amada
- JJ. Mombris
- MM. Randrianarisoa
- PP. Razakanantenaina
- RR. Métanire
- MM. Adrien
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Madagascar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | Malawi(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Niger(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Niger(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Niger(away) | 6-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ethiopia wins, 0 draws, 1 Madagascar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | Madagascar 1-0 Ethiopia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Madagascar vs Ethiopia on Nov 16, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Madagascar sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | EthiopiaGroup J | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | MadagascarGroup L | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Ethiopia vs Madagascar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy