South Sudan vs Malawi: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Juba Stadium, Juba
Full time
What was the result of South Sudan vs Malawi?
Malawi won 0-1 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 47′Richard MbuluMalawi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Sudan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Malawi have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Uganda(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Uganda(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Cameroon(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Zimbabwe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Zambia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 South Sudan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Malawi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2019 | Malawi 1-0 South Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 27, 2015 | South Sudan 2-0 Malawi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Malawi vs South Sudan on Nov 13, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
South Sudan score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Malawi | 0.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Sudan sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 6 matches) and Malawi sit 3rd (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy