Guria vs Chiatura: result 4-1 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Group A - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2012 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
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What was the result of Guria vs Chiatura?
Guria won 4-1 on October 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Aleksandre 'Aleko' GogoberishviliGuria (pen.)
- 64′Iakob 'Koba' DeisadzeChiatura
- 65′G. MachaidzeGuria
- 73′Aleksandre 'Aleko' GogoberishviliGuria
- 86′G. ShetsiruliGuria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Chiatura have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Racha(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 4-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 13, 2012 | Imereti(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Sulori(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Gagra(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2012 | Meshakhte(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Racha(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 13, 2012 | STU(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(away) | 2-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Betlemi(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chiatura score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Chiatura | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy