Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Changwon Football Center, Changwon
The Footlab model makes Gyeongnam FC the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Paju Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Gyeongnam FC (1,541) and Paju Citizen (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyeongnam FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Paju Citizen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimhae City(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gyeongnam FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Paju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Paju Citizen 2-3 Gyeongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Paju Citizen 0-1 Gyeongnam FC | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyeongnam FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongnam FC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyeongnam FC sit 9th in K League 2 (27 points from 22 matches) and Paju Citizen sit 11th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Gyeongnam FC the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Paju Citizen.
- Where and when is Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen played?
- Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Changwon Football Center, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.