Hwaseong vs Cheongju: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong
The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Cheongju. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
Hwaseong starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hwaseong have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cheongju have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hwaseong win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cheongju win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cheongju 2-3 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Hwaseong 1-0 Cheongju | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cheongju 1-1 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Hwaseong 2-1 Cheongju | K League 2 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Hwaseong 1-0 Cheongju | K3 League |
| May 22, 2022 | Cheongju 0-3 Hwaseong | K3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cheongju score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cheongju | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hwaseong sit 6th in K League 2 (36 points from 22 matches) and Cheongju sit 12th (23 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 12 | Cheongju | 22 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 26 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
- The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Cheongju.
- Where and when is Hwaseong vs Cheongju played?
- Hwaseong vs Cheongju is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Hwaseong Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.