Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ETO Park, Győr
The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest?
Gyori ETO FC starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyori ETO FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Riga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 4-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gyori ETO FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MTK Budapest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC 0-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 3-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Aug 17, 2025 | MTK Budapest 2-7 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 2-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Nov 23, 2024 | MTK Budapest 2-2 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Gyori ETO FC 1-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyori ETO FC score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyori ETO FC | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyori ETO FC sit 2nd in NB I (8 points from 4 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gyori ETO FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest played?
- Gyori ETO FC vs MTK Budapest is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ETO Park, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.