Match

Paks vs Kisvarda FC: prediction and stats

NB IMatchday 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks

PaksKisvarda FC

The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kisvarda FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paks vs Kisvarda FC?

Paks starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,813).

53%24%23%
Paks winDrawKisvarda FC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paks vs Kisvarda FC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paks

5-3-2
  1. 17M. Pető
  2. 7J. Szalai
  1. 21K. Papp
  2. 19K. Horváth
  3. 10Z. Haraszti
  1. 14E. Silye
  2. 2Á. Kinyik
  3. 24B. Lenzsér
  4. 5B. Vécsei
  5. 30J. Szabó
  1. 28M. Gyetván

Kisvarda FC

4-1-4-1
  1. 25B. Šerbečić
  1. 14B. Melnyk
  2. 80H. Mbock
  3. 29B. Bíró
  4. 37Miroslav Babjak
  5. 24C. Herc
  1. 55K. Nagy
  2. 10D. Soltész
  3. 42T. Lippai
  4. 4M. Chlumecký
  1. 23I. Popovich

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kisvarda FC have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Zalaegerszegi TE(home)2-1NB I
Nov 1, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-2NB I
Oct 28, 2026Cigand SE(away)2-1Magyar Kupa
Oct 25, 2026Vasas(away)2-0NB I
Oct 17, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Kisvarda FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Puskas Academy(home)0-1NB I
Oct 31, 2026Budapest Honved(away)0-1NB I
Oct 28, 2026Pécsi MFC(away)2-4Magyar Kupa
Oct 24, 2026Zalaegerszegi TE(away)1-1NB I
Oct 18, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1NB I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paks wins, 0 draws, 1 Kisvarda FC win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Kisvarda FC 0-1 PaksNB I
Feb 28, 2026Kisvarda FC 2-1 PaksNB I
Nov 8, 2025Paks 5-3 Kisvarda FCNB I
Aug 3, 2025Kisvarda FC 1-5 PaksNB I
Apr 2, 2025Kisvarda FC 0-1 PaksMagyar Kupa
May 18, 2024Paks 2-1 Kisvarda FCNB I

Last archived meeting: Kisvarda FC vs Paks on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paks score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kisvarda FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paks1.71.6410/1510/15
Kisvarda FC1.51.339/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paks sit 5th in NB I (20 points from 13 matches) and Kisvarda FC sit 11th (12 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Paks13625242220
11Kisvarda FC13265121512

A question about Paks vs Kisvarda FC?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paks vs Kisvarda FC?
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kisvarda FC.
Where and when is Paks vs Kisvarda FC played?
Paks vs Kisvarda FC is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Paks and Kisvarda FC