Paks vs Kisvarda FC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Kisvarda FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Kisvarda FC?
Paks starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kisvarda FC have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paks win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kisvarda FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kisvarda FC 2-1 Paks | NB I |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Paks 5-3 Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Kisvarda FC 1-5 Paks | NB I |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Kisvarda FC 0-1 Paks | Magyar Kupa |
| May 18, 2024 | Paks 2-1 Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Paks 2-1 Kisvarda FC | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kisvarda FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Kisvarda FC | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 6th in NB I (7 points from 5 matches) and Kisvarda FC sit 8th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Kisvarda FC?
- The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Kisvarda FC.
- Where and when is Paks vs Kisvarda FC played?
- Paks vs Kisvarda FC is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.