Match

MTK Budapest vs Paks: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest

MTK BudapestPaks

The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MTK Budapest vs Paks?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate MTK Budapest (1,789) and Paks (1,874).

30%23%47%
MTK Budapest winDrawPaks win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MTK Budapest vs Paks

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1
  1. 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  1. 11G. Jurek
  2. 6M. Kata
  3. 80Adrian Zeljković
  4. 77G. Komáromi
  5. 8A. G. Zubor
  1. 26V. Armalas
  2. 4I. Beriashvili
  3. 55S. Radić
  4. 27P. Kovács
  1. 1P. Demjén

Paks

5-4-1
  1. 7J. Szalai
  1. 21K. Papp
  2. 10Z. Haraszti
  3. 22J. Windecker
  4. 17M. Pető
  1. 30J. Szabó
  2. 14E. Silye
  3. 2Á. Kinyik
  4. 24B. Lenzsér
  5. 15C. Belényesi
  1. 28M. Gyetván

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Paks have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MTK Budapest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Vasas(home)1-0NB I
Oct 10, 2026Paks(away)0-3NB I
Sep 20, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026Mezokovesd-zsory(away)2-0Magyar Kupa
Sep 5, 2026Kisvarda FC(home)1-2NB I
Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Oct 10, 2026MTK Budapest(home)3-0NB I
Sep 19, 2026Kisvarda FC(away)1-0NB I
Sep 12, 2026Kazincbarcikai(away)2-1Magyar Kupa
Sep 5, 2026Debreceni VSC(home)2-4NB I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 MTK Budapest wins, 0 draws, 6 Paks wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Paks 3-0 MTK BudapestNB I
Mar 20, 2026MTK Budapest 0-2 PaksNB I
Dec 6, 2025Paks 3-1 MTK BudapestNB I
Aug 24, 2025MTK Budapest 2-3 PaksNB I
Apr 11, 2025MTK Budapest 1-2 PaksNB I
Dec 7, 2024Paks 4-2 MTK BudapestNB I

Last archived meeting: Paks vs MTK Budapest on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MTK Budapest1.51.749/1511/15
Paks2.12.1312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MTK Budapest sit 8th in NB I (12 points from 10 matches) and Paks sit 7th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Paks10424201914
8MTK Budapest10334161712

A question about MTK Budapest vs Paks?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest.
Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Paks played?
MTK Budapest vs Paks is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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