Dundela vs Loughgall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wilgar Park, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dundela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundela vs Loughgall?
Loughgall starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,387 vs 1,186).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundela have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Loughgall have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dundela win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Loughgall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Dundela 0-3 Loughgall | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Loughgall 2-1 Dundela | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dundela 2-2 Loughgall | Championship |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Dundela 0-0 Loughgall | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Dundela 1-3 Loughgall | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Loughgall 0-1 Dundela | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundela score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundela | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundela sit 13th in Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Loughgall sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
| 11 | Dundela | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 73 | 20 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 77 | 28 |
| 13 | Dundela | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundela vs Loughgall?
- The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dundela.
- Where and when is Dundela vs Loughgall played?
- Dundela vs Loughgall is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wilgar Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.