Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Newry City AFC (1,244) and Moyola Park (1,270).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Moyola Park have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Newry City AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Moyola Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Newry City AFC 0-0 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moyola Park 0-0 Newry City AFC | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newry City AFC sit 10th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Moyola Park sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Moyola Park | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park?
- The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park played?
- Newry City AFC vs Moyola Park is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.