H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes H2O Purepechas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If H2O Purepechas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate H2O Purepechas (1,802) and Chapulineros (1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, H2O Purepechas have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Chapulineros have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
H2O Purepechas score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Chapulineros score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2O Purepechas | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
| Chapulineros | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H2O Purepechas sit 15th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and Chapulineros sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
A question about H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes H2O Purepechas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros played?
- H2O Purepechas vs Chapulineros is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Tigres de AlicavsMontañeses
- Apr 3, 2027Reboceros La PiedadvsDeportiva Venados
- Apr 3, 2027Zacatepec 1948vsCelaya
- Apr 3, 2027CordobésvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Apr 4, 2027IrapuatovsTapachula
- Apr 4, 2027Lobos ULMXvsPioneros de Cancún
- Apr 4, 2027Los Cabos UnitedvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Apr 6, 2027Tritons VallartavsRacing de Veracruz