Match

Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya: prediction and stats

Primera PremierRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Mariano Matamoros, Galeana

Zacatepec 1948Celaya

The Footlab AI model makes Zacatepec 1948 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Celaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zacatepec 1948 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Zacatepec 1948 (1,902) and Celaya (1,964).

40%28%32%
Zacatepec 1948 winDrawCelaya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zacatepec 1948

4-3-3
  1. 27G. Ramírez
  2. 18E. Pérez
  3. 26E. Trejo
  1. 5A. Cirigliano
  2. 11J. Cardozo
  3. 31L. Olascoaga
  1. 3L. Trejo
  2. 30J. Akrong
  3. 2R. Cuba
  4. 25D. Martínez
  1. 13A. Duarte

Celaya

Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zacatepec 1948 have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Celaya have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zacatepec 1948
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Irapuato(away)0-2Primera Premier
Oct 3, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(home)2-2Primera Premier
Sep 26, 2026Cordobés(away)1-0Primera Premier
Sep 19, 2026H2O Purepechas(home)1-0Primera Premier
Sep 11, 2026Tritons Vallarta(away)1-1Primera Premier
Celaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Racing de Veracruz(away)1-2Primera Premier
Oct 6, 2026Jaguares de Chiapas(home)0-1Primera Premier
Sep 26, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)2-2Primera Premier
Sep 20, 2026Montañeses(home)2-1Primera Premier
Sep 12, 2026Chapulineros(away)1-1Primera Premier

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zacatepec 1948 wins, 1 draw, 1 Celaya win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 2, 2020Zacatepec 1948 3-1 CelayaLiga de Expansión MX
Aug 2, 2019Celaya 0-1 Zacatepec 1948Liga de Expansión MX
Feb 9, 2019Zacatepec 1948 1-0 CelayaLiga de Expansión MX
Aug 26, 2018Celaya 1-1 Zacatepec 1948Liga de Expansión MX
Feb 11, 2018Celaya 0-1 Zacatepec 1948Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 9, 2017Zacatepec 1948 0-1 CelayaLiga de Expansión MX

Last archived meeting: Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya on Feb 2, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Zacatepec 1948 score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zacatepec 19481.71.3310/158/15
Celaya1.71.3410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zacatepec 1948 sit 8th in Primera Premier (10 points from 6 matches) and Celaya sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Celaya741212713
8Zacatepec 194863128810

A question about Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya?
The Footlab AI model makes Zacatepec 1948 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Celaya.
Where and when is Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya played?
Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya is played on April 3, 2027 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mariano Matamoros, in the Primera Premier.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Zacatepec 1948 and Celaya

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