Hafia vs AC Douane: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Petit Sory, Conakry
The Footlab model makes Hafia the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for AC Douane. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hafia vs AC Douane?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hafia (1,719) and AC Douane (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hafia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; AC Douane have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | ASFAG(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | RCC Kamsar(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Horoya(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Renaissance(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | ASM Sangarédi(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | N'Zidane(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Gendrim(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kaédi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | Nouadhibou(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | SNIM(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hafia score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AC Douane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hafia | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| AC Douane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hafia vs AC Douane?
- The Footlab model makes Hafia the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for AC Douane.
- Where and when is Hafia vs AC Douane played?
- Hafia vs AC Douane is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Petit Sory, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.