Hajdúnánás vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hajdúnánás the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hajdúnánás vs Tarpa?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Hajdúnánás (1,356) and Tarpa (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Hajdúnánás have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Tarpa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kisvárda II(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Debrecen II(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 0-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Hajdúnánás score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 5; Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hajdúnánás | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hajdúnánás sit 12th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hajdúnánás | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hajdúnánás vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab model makes Hajdúnánás the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Hajdúnánás vs Tarpa played?
- Hajdúnánás vs Tarpa is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.