Match

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Dragones de OaxacaGuerreros

The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dragones de Oaxaca wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros?

On Elo ratings, Dragones de Oaxaca has 1,892 points and Guerreros 1,824.

58%22%20%
Dragones de Oaxaca winDrawGuerreros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Dragones de Oaxaca

Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.

Guerreros

Not enough data to predict the Guerreros lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Guerreros have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dragones de Oaxaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 1, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 13, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)5-1Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 31, 2026Real Refineros(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026FC Santiago(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dragones de Oaxaca2.31.068/159/15
Guerreros1.41.638/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dragones de Oaxaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (25 points from 10 matches) and Guerreros sit 7th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Dragones de Oaxaca1072127825
7Guerreros9324141612

A question about Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros?
The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros played?
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dragones de Oaxaca and Guerreros