Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II played?

Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg

Hamburger SV II

St. Pauli II

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hamburger SV II (1,844) and St. Pauli II (1,761).

Hamburger SV II win55 %

Draw21 %

St. Pauli II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Todesfelde(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026	Kickers Emden(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hamburger SV II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	St. Pauli II 1-1 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Dec 13, 2025	Hamburger SV II 4-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 12, 2025	Hamburger SV II 4-2 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 6, 2024	St. Pauli II 1-4 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 31, 2024	Hamburger SV II 2-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 30, 2023	St. Pauli II 0-1 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV II	1.5	1.8	1	11/15	10/15
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
18	Hamburger SV II	4	0	1	3	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II played?: Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.