Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Elm-Stadion, Schöningen
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Schöningen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg?
Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schöningen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Wolfenbuttel(away) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Schöningen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weiche Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg 2-0 Schöningen | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Schöningen 3-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Weiche Flensburg vs Schöningen on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schöningen score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schöningen | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schöningen sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Schöningen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Schöningen.
- Where and when is Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg played?
- Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Elm-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsKickers Emden
- Sep 16, 2026Bremer SVvsVfB Oldenburg
- Sep 16, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 16, 2026SSV JeddelohvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Sep 16, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsSt. Pauli II
- Sep 16, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsVfB Lübeck
- Sep 16, 2026Phönix LübeckvsTodesfelde
- Sep 16, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsWerder Bremen II