Match

Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Elm-Stadion, Schöningen

SchöningenWeiche Flensburg

The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Schöningen. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg?

Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,816).

Schöningen win20 %
Draw19 %
Weiche Flensburg win61 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schöningen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schöningen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Todesfelde(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Wolfenbuttel(away)6-2Friendlies Clubs
Weiche Flensburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 19, 2026Werder Bremen II(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)5-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)5-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Schöningen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weiche Flensburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Weiche Flensburg 2-0 SchöningenRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 11, 2025Schöningen 3-2 Weiche FlensburgRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Weiche Flensburg vs Schöningen on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schöningen score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schöningen1.82.8210/1511/15
Weiche Flensburg2.31.3312/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schöningen sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Weiche Flensburg541017713
3Schöningen43107210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg?
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Schöningen.
Where and when is Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg played?
Schöningen vs Weiche Flensburg is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Elm-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Schöningen and Weiche Flensburg

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