Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Weiche Flensburg (1,930) and Hamburger SV II (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hamburger SV II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 9, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 12, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 0-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Weiche Flensburg 1-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger SV II is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsSchöningen
- Sep 12, 2026VfB LübeckvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 12, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Sep 12, 2026St. Pauli IIvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Sep 12, 2026VfB OldenburgvsHannover 96 II
- Sep 12, 2026Kickers EmdenvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Sep 12, 2026TodesfeldevsBremer SV
- Sep 12, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsPhönix Lübeck