Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II played?

Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg

Hamburger SV II

Werder Bremen II

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Werder Bremen II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hamburger SV II (1,844) and Werder Bremen II (1,860).

Hamburger SV II win49 %

Draw22 %

Werder Bremen II win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Werder Bremen II have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Todesfelde(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026	Kickers Emden(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Weiche Flensburg(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026	St. Pauli II(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	VfB Oldenburg(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 19, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hamburger SV II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Werder Bremen II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Werder Bremen II 2-1 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 11, 2025	Hamburger SV II 6-2 Werder Bremen II	Regionalliga - Nord
Feb 16, 2025	Hamburger SV II 1-4 Werder Bremen II	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 28, 2024	Werder Bremen II 5-0 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 16, 2023	Hamburger SV II 2-0 Werder Bremen II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 8, 2022	Werder Bremen II 1-5 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen II vs Hamburger SV II on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen II score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV II	1.5	1.8	1	11/15	10/15
Werder Bremen II	1.7	2.4	1	11/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and Werder Bremen II sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Werder Bremen II	4	0	1	3	5	10	1
18	Hamburger SV II	4	0	1	3	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Werder Bremen II.
Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II played?: Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.