Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hammarby IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for IF Karlstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?
Hammarby Talang starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby Talang have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; IF Karlstad have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 5-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 7-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hammarby Talang win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 IF Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | IF Karlstad 0-2 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Nov 9, 2025 | IF Karlstad 1-2 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Hammarby Talang 3-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Hammarby Talang 1-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 1, 2024 | IF Karlstad 2-0 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hammarby Talang 1-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: IF Karlstad vs Hammarby Talang on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby Talang score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby Talang | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby Talang sit 1st in Ettan - Norra (37 points from 18 matches) and IF Karlstad sit 3rd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for IF Karlstad.
- Where and when is Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad played?
- Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hammarby IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.