FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Örsholmens IP Konstgräs, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes Karlberg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for FBK Karlstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate FBK Karlstad (1,627) and Karlberg (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FBK Karlstad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karlberg have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 2-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FBK Karlstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karlberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Karlberg 1-1 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Karlberg 1-2 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 27, 2024 | FBK Karlstad 0-3 Karlberg | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FBK Karlstad score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karlberg score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBK Karlstad | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Karlberg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FBK Karlstad sit 7th in Ettan - Norra (28 points from 18 matches) and Karlberg sit 8th (24 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
- The Footlab model makes Karlberg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for FBK Karlstad.
- Where and when is FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg played?
- FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Örsholmens IP Konstgräs, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.