Arlanda vs Järfälla: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Midgårdsvallen Konstgräs, Märsta
The Footlab AI model makes Arlanda the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Järfälla. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Arlanda starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arlanda vs Järfälla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arlanda
4-3-3- 15I. Antholm
- 21L. Kleist
- 7S. Rehman
- 22M. Butros
- 8Y. Yemane
- 10A. Charbachi
- 27E. Johansson
- 20I. Giordano Eriksson
- 2C. Norberg
- 19S. Rydz
- 1A. Smedberg Lagh
Järfälla
4-3-3- 8N. Medhin
- 23C. F. Danha
- 17M. Khalil
- 20E. Drugge
- 6P. Saweris
- 10A. Portilla
- 27D. Bangala
- 3N. Akdemir
- 4Yusuf Deniz Aksoy
- 26Degome Dibaga
- 30E. von Feilitzen
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arlanda have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Järfälla have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(home) | 4-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gefle IF(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Umeå FC(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 2-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arlanda wins, 0 draws, 1 Järfälla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Järfälla 0-2 Arlanda | Svenska Cupen |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Järfälla 2-3 Arlanda | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Järfälla 0-1 Arlanda | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| May 18, 2024 | Arlanda 3-0 Järfälla | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Arlanda 2-1 Järfälla | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Järfälla 3-0 Arlanda | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Arlanda score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Järfälla score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlanda | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Järfälla | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arlanda sit 2nd in Ettan - Norra (48 points from 26 matches) and Järfälla sit 15th (19 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arlanda | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 31 | 48 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 57 | 19 |
A question about Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arlanda vs Järfälla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arlanda the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Järfälla.
- Where and when is Arlanda vs Järfälla played?
- Arlanda vs Järfälla is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Midgårdsvallen Konstgräs, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.