Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 19Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hammarby IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Karlberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg?
Hammarby Talang starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby Talang have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Karlberg have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 5-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 7-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 2-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hammarby Talang win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Karlberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Karlberg 0-2 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Hammarby Talang 0-3 Karlberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Hammarby Talang 1-1 Karlberg | Ettan - Norra |
| May 23, 2025 | Karlberg 1-1 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Hammarby Talang 0-1 Karlberg | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Karlberg 2-2 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Karlberg vs Hammarby Talang on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby Talang score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karlberg score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby Talang | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Karlberg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby Talang sit 1st in Ettan - Norra (37 points from 18 matches) and Karlberg sit 8th (24 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 15 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Karlberg.
- Where and when is Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg played?
- Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg is played on August 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hammarby IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.