Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gavlevallen, Gävle
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gefle IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad?
IF Karlstad starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gefle IF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; IF Karlstad have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Umeå FC(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 0-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gefle IF win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 IF Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | IF Karlstad 2-0 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Gefle IF 1-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 28, 2025 | IF Karlstad 2-2 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Gefle IF 3-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 10, 2022 | IF Karlstad 2-3 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 31, 2021 | IF Karlstad 2-2 Gefle IF | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: IF Karlstad vs Gefle IF on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gefle IF score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gefle IF | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gefle IF sit 11th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and IF Karlstad sit 3rd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gefle IF.
- Where and when is Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad played?
- Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gavlevallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.