Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Balzan FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Hamrun Spartans starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,622 vs 1,435).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamrun Spartans have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Balzan FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 15, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Melita(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hamrun Spartans win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Balzan FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Balzan FC 1-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Balzan FC 1-7 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Balzan FC 0-4 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hamrun Spartans score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Balzan FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Balzan FC | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamrun Spartans sit 9th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Balzan FC sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hamrun Spartans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
- The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Balzan FC.
- Where and when is Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC played?
- Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC is played on October 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.