Hibernians vs Gzira United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Hibernians the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gzira United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernians vs Gzira United?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hibernians (1,487) and Gzira United (1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernians have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gzira United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hibernians win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gzira United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gzira United 1-0 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Gzira United 3-2 Hibernians | FA Trophy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hibernians 4-1 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Hibernians 5-3 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Hibernians 1-2 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Gzira United 1-4 Hibernians | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Gzira United vs Hibernians on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernians score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gzira United score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernians | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gzira United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernians sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gzira United sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hibernians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernians vs Gzira United?
- The Footlab model makes Hibernians the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gzira United.
- Where and when is Hibernians vs Gzira United played?
- Hibernians vs Gzira United is played on October 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.