Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,983) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hansa Rostock win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 5-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Hansa Rostock 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for MSV Duisburg.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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