Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaMatchday 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab AI model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hansa Rostock wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (2,067) and MSV Duisburg (2,156).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hansa Rostock
3-4-2-1- 9A. Voglsammer
- 4K. Fatkić
- 32N. Kölle
- 8Ouassim Karada
- 5M. Schuster
- 43L. Dajaku
- 27D. Kopacz
- 17F. Carstens
- 23F. Pfanne
- 16L. Wallner
- 25P. Klewin
MSV Duisburg
3-4-3- 11D. Kother
- 14C. Noß
- 9L. Lobinger
- 6R. Bulić
- 8A. Casar
- 20N. Jessen
- 27C. Coşkun
- 40B. Schlicke
- 29J. Bitter
- 5T. Fleckstein
- 1M. Braune
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hansa Rostock wins, 2 draws, 1 MSV Duisburg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 5-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Hansa Rostock 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 10th in 3. Liga (19 points from 13 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 2nd (29 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 29 |
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
A question about Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for MSV Duisburg.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsStuttgart II
- Apr 17, 2027Würzburger KickersvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Apr 17, 2027Preußen MünstervsHoffenheim II
- Apr 17, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Apr 17, 2027SV MeppenvsFortuna Köln
- Apr 17, 2027SV WehenvsFC Saarbrücken
- Apr 17, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsHavelse
- Apr 17, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsVerl