Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Verl. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
On Elo ratings, Rot-Weiß Essen has 2,039 points and Verl 1,995.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rot-Weiß Essen
4-2-3-1- 11Noah Pesch
- 22J. Sietan
- 10M. Obuz
- 17S. Telalović
- 14L. Brumme
- 20M. Janssen
- 19F. Bouebari
- 23J. Ríos Alonso
- 15Ben Vincent Hüning
- 2M. Kostka
- 1J. Golz
Verl
4-2-3-1- 25T. Heike
- 20A. Leipold
- 8D. Waidner
- 30A. Mešanović
- 6J. Eze
- 21M. Clausen
- 19N. Kijewski
- 5Nick Seidel
- 34Janne Berner
- 22N. König
- 1T. Schlieck
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Verl have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win, 2 draws, 3 Verl wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Verl 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-3 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 0-5 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Verl | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd in 3. Liga (18 points from 10 matches) and Verl sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Verl | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Verl.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsStuttgart II
- Apr 17, 2027Würzburger KickersvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Apr 17, 2027Preußen MünstervsHoffenheim II
- Apr 17, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Apr 17, 2027SV MeppenvsFortuna Köln
- Apr 17, 2027SV WehenvsFC Saarbrücken
- Apr 17, 2027Hansa RostockvsMSV Duisburg
- Apr 17, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsHavelse