Match

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,911).

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win59 %
Draw21 %
Fortuna Düsseldorf win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Fortuna Düsseldorf

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