SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 2-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsStuttgart II
- Apr 17, 2027Würzburger KickersvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Apr 17, 2027Preußen MünstervsHoffenheim II
- Apr 17, 2027SV MeppenvsFortuna Köln
- Apr 17, 2027SV WehenvsFC Saarbrücken
- Apr 17, 2027Hansa RostockvsMSV Duisburg
- Apr 17, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsHavelse
- Apr 17, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsVerl