Match

Verl vs Havelse: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

VerlHavelse

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Havelse. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs Havelse?

Verl starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,827).

Verl win70 %
Draw17 %
Havelse win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs
Havelse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stuttgart II(home)2-33. Liga
Jul 31, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Havelse win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Verl 4-0 Havelse3. Liga
Dec 6, 2025Havelse 2-2 Verl3. Liga
Jul 8, 2023Havelse 1-1 VerlFriendlies Clubs
Mar 19, 2022Havelse 1-3 Verl3. Liga
Oct 18, 2021Verl 5-3 Havelse3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Verl vs Havelse on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl1.51.746/1510/15
Havelse1.52.3210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Havelse2002240
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs Havelse?
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Havelse.
Where and when is Verl vs Havelse played?
Verl vs Havelse is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Verl and Havelse

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