Verl vs Havelse: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Havelse. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs Havelse?
Verl starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,827).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Havelse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Verl 4-0 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Havelse 2-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Havelse 1-1 Verl | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Havelse 1-3 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2021 | Verl 5-3 Havelse | 3. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs Havelse?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Verl vs Havelse played?
- Verl vs Havelse is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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