Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,689) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Kfar Shalem have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 2-2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 1-3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2021 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1-6 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem on Jan 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Kfar Shalem score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem is played on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 17, 2026Kafr QasimvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Sep 17, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Acre
- Sep 17, 2026AshdodvsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Sep 17, 2026Bnei YehudavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Sep 17, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Sep 17, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Sep 17, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsIroni Modi'in