Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Rishon LeZion the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,720) and Hapoel Rishon LeZion (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Rishon LeZion have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 2-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Rishon LeZion score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 12th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Rishon LeZion sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ashdod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Rishon LeZion the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion played?
- Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion is played on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 17, 2026Hapoel AfulavsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Sep 17, 2026Kafr QasimvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Sep 17, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Acre
- Sep 17, 2026Bnei YehudavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Sep 17, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Sep 17, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Sep 17, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsIroni Modi'in