Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Acre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,770) and Hapoel Acre (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Acre have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 0-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Acre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | Hapoel Acre 0-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 19, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-0 Hapoel Acre | Liga Leumit |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 4-1 Hapoel Acre | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-0 Hapoel Acre | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-1 Hapoel Acre | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Hapoel Acre 3-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Acre vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Jan 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Acre score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Acre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Acre sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Acre.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Acre is played on September 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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