Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Rishon LeZion the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,707) and Hapoel Rishon LeZion (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Rishon LeZion have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 2-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Afula win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Rishon LeZion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 0-3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 0-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1-0 Hapoel Afula | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 2-0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Afula on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Rishon LeZion score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Rishon LeZion sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Rishon LeZion the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion is played on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.