Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ironi Modi'in win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Ironi Modi'in 1-3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Oct 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Modi'in.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in is played on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.