Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya played?

Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya is played on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod

Ashdod

Maccabi Herzliya

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,720) and Maccabi Herzliya (1,813).

Ashdod win27 %

Draw26 %

Maccabi Herzliya win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Maccabi Herzliya have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashdod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)	1-0	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026	Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)	3-2	Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026	Hapoel Katamon(home)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026	Hapoel Haifa(away)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al

Maccabi Herzliya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hapoel Ra'anana(home)	2-3	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(away)	2-0	Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026	Bnei Yehuda(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 20, 2026	Hapoel Kfar Saba(home)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away)	2-1	Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ashdod	1.0	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Maccabi Herzliya	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashdod sit 12th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Herzliya sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Maccabi Herzliya	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
12	Ashdod	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya?: The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ashdod.
Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya played?: Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya is played on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.