Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Kfar Saba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Hapoel Kfar Saba (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Kfar Saba have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Kfar Saba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 0-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-3 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 0-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 7, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 25, 2019 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 2-3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Mar 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Kfar Saba score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Kfar Saba sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Kfar Saba.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Hapoel AfulavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Oct 16, 2026AshdodvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Oct 16, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsBnei Yehuda
- Oct 16, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsHapoel Acre
- Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsIroni Modi'in
- Oct 16, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsKafr Qasim