Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Be'er Sheva
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (2,170 vs 2,010).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3- 66I. Zlatanović
- 20J. East
- 45M. Abu Rumi
- 17A. Forson
- 28N. Yehoshua
- 9Z. Ahmed
- 2G. Mizrahi
- 15I. Nachmias
- 44D. Diop
- 5Pedro Amador
- 1O. Marciano
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 19W. Swedberg
- 17Javi Rueda
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 14Aleix Febas
- 30H. Burcio
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 18Yoel Lago
- 13I. Radu
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Celta Vigo have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 5, 2026 | OFI(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 33rd in UEFA Europa League (1 point from 4 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 27th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo played?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo is played on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.