Real Sociedad vs Plzen: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Plzen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Plzen?
On Elo ratings, Real Sociedad has 2,142 points and Plzen 2,081.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Plzen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 21Y. Herrera
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 12J. Ochieng
- 6Jon Martín
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 5Zubeldia
- 13Unai Marrero
Plzen
4-2-3-1- 25C. Kabongo
- 17P. Hrošovský
- 99A. Memić
- 12A. Sojka
- 36S. PirgiÄ
- 20Jiří Maxim Panoš
- 14Merchas Doski
- 40S. Dweh
- 29A. Gabriel
- 98F. Prebsl
- 1D. Ťapaj
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Plzen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Real Sociedad wins, 0 draws, 1 Plzen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | Plzen 2-1 Real Sociedad | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: Plzen vs Real Sociedad on Nov 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Plzen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Plzen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 22nd in UEFA Europa League (1 point from 2 matches) and Plzen sit 31st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 31 | Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Real Sociedad vs Plzen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Plzen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Plzen.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Plzen played?
- Real Sociedad vs Plzen is played on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.