NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,404 Elo points against 2,065, a 339-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 9T. Chery
- 21T. Storm
- 18D. Geiger
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 4P. Schuurs
- 22A. Kaplan
- 1G. Crettaz
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 8F. Aursnes
- 27Rafa
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 36João Palhinha
- 25G. Prestianni
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 6A. Bah
- 3A. Circati
- 34S. El Karouani
- 1A. Trubin
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Benfica | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 20th in UEFA Europa League (4 points from 3 matches) and Benfica sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica is played on January 21, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.