Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Be'er Sheva
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
Hapoel Beer Sheva starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (2,108 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ironi Kiryat Shmona have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 1-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 5-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Kiryat Shmona score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona played?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.