Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias?
Maccabi Haifa starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Haifa have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ironi Tiberias have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Maccabi Haifa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ironi Tiberias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 4-2 Ironi Tiberias | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 3-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-1 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Ironi Tiberias 0-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Maccabi Haifa 4-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Haifa sit 2nd in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Ironi Tiberias sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias played?
- Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.