Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)HaMoshava Stadium, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Petah Tikva the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Maccabi Petah Tikva (1,857) and Hapoel Katamon (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 4-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Petah Tikva on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 3rd in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Petah Tikva the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at HaMoshava Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.