Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Nesher

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win45 %
Draw26 %
Ironi Nesher win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)2-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)2-1Liga Alef
Ironi Nesher
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tira(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)1-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ironi Nesher win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 16, 2026Ironi Nesher 1-3 Hapoel Bnei MusmusLiga Alef
Sep 5, 2025Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Ironi NesherLiga Alef
Jan 10, 2025Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Ironi NesherLiga Alef
Sep 16, 2019Ironi Nesher 3-2 Hapoel Bnei MusmusState Cup

Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Jan 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.51.3310/159/15
Ironi Nesher1.21.839/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966282833
11Ironi Nesher22859283729

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Nesher.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher played?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Bnei Musmus and Ironi Nesher

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