Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ironi Nesher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 1-3 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2019 | Ironi Nesher 3-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Ironi Nesher is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 9, 2027TiravsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel