Match

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam

Maccabi K. Ata BialikHapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,659).

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win46 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Nazareth Illit win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away)5-3Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)0-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)2-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik1.41.168/158/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084352138

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik and Hapoel Nazareth Illit

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