Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 9, 2027TiravsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel