Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,710) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 9, 2027TiravsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel